bellwether counties epoch times

Global Trade Policy Challenges: preparing for the next decade, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported. A number of fertilizer plants closed across the country last year due to natural gas shortages. The voter shift is happening statewide, and despite Democrats having 750,000 more registered voters, Republicans have gained 75,000 since 2016, while Democrats have lost 91,000. . Unbridled Evil: The Corrupt Reign of Jiang Zemin in China. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. They also found that high-scoring counties exhibit a geographic trend. For the first time in as long as she can remember, since becoming a registered voter 35 years ago, all three county commissioners are Republicans. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. I know a lot of people dont like him, because of his tweets and things that he says, and I kind of agree with that. Fitch said almost half of the 5,000-strong Second Amendment group in Elk county are Democrats. In West Terre Haute, across the Wabash River from Terre Haute, Bobby Tisdell, a 38-year-old forklift driver, plans to cast his first vote on Election Day. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000; Trump won 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. We want to get people off of welfare, we need to get people back into working again, being self sustainable. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000. We have to stand and fight for the constitution our forefathers created. He also believes many local Biden voters made the decision to vote for the Democratic candidate years ago, but theyre not going to be vocal about it.. 'I Should Start Voting'. Im not even sure what direction were going.. Miller cited seeing some retail and light industrial development around the county in recent yearsa Bass Pro Shops store in Bowling Green, a 1 million-square-foot expansion for First Solar in Perrysburg in 2018, and downtown revitalization in Bowling Green. We can place an order and immediately get an email back of what they dont have. Unfortunately, however, neither of the reasons for why we might think that previous bellwethers will continue to be bellwethers is valid. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Mike DeWine is running for reelection and facing candidates Joe Blystone, Jim Renacci, and Ron Hood in the primary. Since picking the winning candidate in Democrat Lyndon Baines Johnson in 1964, it has deviated from the winner only twice. President Trump won every single bellwether county, except Clallam County in Washington. We need jobs up here, good-paying full-time jobs, she added. The expansion for First Solar was made possible by changes in the U.S. Corporate Tax Policy during the Trump administration. Longtime Bowling Green resident Doug Miller, a conservative and Donald Trump supporter who works as a chief operating officer for a heavy-duty trucking company in nearby Fremont, said the company, which was heavily affected during the pandemic, is still navigating challenges. Haotian Chen is a Ph.D. student in political science at the University of California, Irvine. The shift is evident when comparing current registrations with the 2016 numbers. Shepherds family, on the other hand, wasnt much interested in politics. But what would be striking is for it to end so radically. I kind of keep in my bubble. Wolf has allowed for the counting of ballots to continue for three days after Nov. 3, meaning its unlikely that a winner will be called in Pennsylvania for at least a week after the election. But as for America, I feel he would do the best job.. The unequal geographic distribution is a somewhat curious phenomenon of bellwether counties. Visual inspection suggests that, like other counties, they voted in 2020 roughly as they did in 2016; given this (and given that many of these counties went solidly for Trump in 2016), it is unsurprising that Biden won only one of them. He isnt happy that Biden called Trump names during the first debate. As the 2022 mid-term elections near (May 3 in Ohio), one might think that the Republican and Democratic headquarters might be open and in full swing, but at both party offices the week of Feb. 21, the lights were out and no one was occupying the desks inside or answering the phones. Articles after the 2020 election examining the predictive power of previous bellwethers are found in other sources, including the Wall Street Journal and the Epoch Times. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. As a father, I would be curious about what my kids are doing.. He told The Epoch Times that hes facing workforce shortages and currently only has 18 cookshalf of what he normally would have. Its home to four universities, filled with many Democratic-leaning students. He considers Trump pro-life. And it can happen.. March 1, 2023 8:28 PM PT. . Its the rural American, pro-life, pro-Second Amendment county that gave the edge to Barack Obama in 2008. She said her husband will vote for Trump, too. The 19 bellwethers tend to be poorer, whiter, older, and less educated than the rest of the country, according to an August paper by researchers from the University of Denver and the University of New Hampshire. People are so worked up about it all the time, stressed out. Its just stupid, she said. Trump swiped 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. Vigo County's most recent winning streak ended this year, as it did for nearly all the country's reliable bellwethers, most of them blue-collar, overwhelmingly white communities in the Rust Belt. January 5, 2021: Rep. Jordan attacks "liberal judges" and state officials for their role in the election. Fannin plans to vote in person and is pretty sure Trump will win a second term, but hes concerned about the integrity of the mail-in ballots. We shouldnt be fighting among each other here. Jacobs, 58, a gift store manager in Ridgway, said she voted for Obama but didnt follow politics closely at the time. Thats probably the biggest fear right now when I talk to people. Our politicians need to look on both sides of the fence and work together. He likes that Trump upholds law and order amid the social unrest. Residents who were asked about any candidate choices tended to be true to their reputation as a bellwether county, with more of a wait-and-see type of attitude of seeing whos going to step up as a presidential candidate in 2024. But Myers doesnt think Biden is respectful to Trump either. Her husband, a groundskeeper at an Army Reserve base, comes from a strongly Democratic family. bellwether counties epoch timesjury duty summons date vs reporting date Get Business Credit and Financing To Grow Your Business!!! President Trump won every single bellwether county, except Clallam County in Washington. Carol Jacobs and her husband were lifelong Democrats until 2016. Paul, a 51-year-old resident in Seelyvillejust east of Terre Hautewho also didnt disclose his last name, wont vote either. Unbridled Evil: The Corrupt Reign of Jiang Zemin in China. Every time you pass a law, the government becomes more oppressive. I hope.. Yet unofficial vote counts now show Biden in the lead and with enough electoral votes to claim the presidency. Hamilton sees value in both parties, he said, but he considers himself Democratic-leaning. One major planned project in Wood County pulled outPeloton, an exercise bike and interactive exercise equipment manufacturer. The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. Colleton County, South Carolina - one miss since 1968 (in 1980), perfect since 1984. Trump wasnt Tom TO Fitchs first choice in the 2016 primaryhe voted for Sen. Ted Cruz. And its never going to come back.. In particular, recent research which identified nineteen bellwether counties found that they tended to be whiter, older, less educated, have lower median incomes, have a lower percentage of workers in the labor force, and have higher rates of vacant housing than the country as a whole. These counties also disproportionately came from the Midwest and the Northeast. The strongest bellwether counties are those that back the winning candidate in all elections. Elk Countys approximately 15,000 residents that go to the polls have voted for the eventual winner in all but three presidential elections since 1932in 1940, 1968, and 2012. He was working on his neighbors lawn when he paused to talk to The Epoch Times. 2016 Trump. The morale of the people up there is bad. We need creative leadership, Miller said. But what would be striking is for it to end so radically. Here's why. For Tisdell, the two major issues that weigh on his mind this year are the riots and the pandemic. We need to make ourselves energy independent again. For example, a county might be said to be a "bellwether county" if it consistently votes the same way as the majority of the state. If that date were to change, the Ohio legislature is the only one who can request to postpone or change the date of an election through legislative action.. Over the same time period, Democrat registrations have dipped from 9,526 to 7,576. Weve never done that before.. I think its very political right now, honestly. Whether you respect the man or not, he is still the president of the United States and you should respect that.. Until we have term limits for politicians, this country doesnt have a prayer.. But Hamilton thinks more changes are needed. He has since assessed each candidate on their moral stances, he said, rather than by party affiliation. Though Myers leans toward Trump, he hasnt made up his mind to vote for him yet; he didnt vote for Trump in 2016. Port Clinton, Ohio. The counties are also mostly small and rural. The Upper Mississippi River Valley and it [sic] surrounding area in particular appears to be an epicenter of these high-scoring bellwethers., Teresa Shepherd stands in front of her daughters house in Seelyvilee, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. I think it worked out without me.. Hes an elitist and just couldnt keep his mouth shut. Fifteen percent is a very large gap to close, he said. It doesnt matter whether you are a Republican or a Democrat, youre going to get a crook. Before the 2020 election, Clallam was one of 19 counties with an unbroken record of voting for the winning presidential candidate since 1980. Our roads need to be fixed. Bernard Grofman is Distinguished Professor of Political Science and Jack W. Peltason Chair of Democracy Studies at the University of California, Irvine. We know that President Donald Trump won 18 of the 19 historic bellwether counties those that have regularly predicted the outcome of presidential contests. Recently, the company needed to find a part for one of its trucks, and it actually located the only part available in the United States and was able to get it. Because the man made a lot of promises in 2016, and I think that he stood up and he kept every one of those promises that he could possibly keep, said Ron Fannin, 69, the local courthouse supervisor. Rarely are we really stuck with people in leadership that are fairly moderate. She registered as a Democrat about 40 years ago and has never bothered to change her affiliation, although she voted for Trump in 2016 and plans to do the same this year. He isnt so sure about Biden. Understanding the I-4 corridor's bellwether mojo requires defining the area. Now the places emerging as possible new bellwethers have more racially diverse populations. But, he said, he also doesnt complain. I would never vote any other way. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. But thats not the picture I look at. We have loads that sometimes dont cover the fuel costs., During the COVID pandemic, nobody was on the roads. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. Its been a long time since we were fully staffed with 35 cooks. Titchner, a Vietnam veteran, has been painting houses for 45 years and said he votes based on the candidate, rather than the party. Why is belief in the existence of bellwether states and counties (especially the latter) so strong? A 75-year-old retiree who owned a transportation and logistics business didnt want to be named and told The Epoch Times hes been skeptical of government since he was 30. Since he became a Christian in the mid-1990s, he said hes used his moral compass to determine his vote. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. Results from 28 counties have still not been finalized, per Brookings Institution. Because of the current situation, I have to look at our finances and say, Can I get this new truck, can I hire these two to three new employees, can we go into this new line of business? Jim was awarded the Reed Irvine Accuracy in . The Epoch Times Thu, 19 Nov 2020 21:41 UTC TERRE HAUTE, Ind.For well over a century, voters in Vigo County, Indiana, have backed the winner in almost every presidential election. Washington state's Clallam County was the outlier, backing Joe Biden in a state he won by more than 19 points. They can try all they can to prevent whatever they want to prevent, but nature is going to run its course, no matter what, Tisdell said. If we dont stop them, if we dont take a stand basically were moving into socialism.. He doesnt seem like a really bad guy. People need to get a job, get out and work. A small-business owner, who didnt want to be identified, said hes voting for Biden. Donald Trump 16 out of 39 counties which are considered significant bellwethers. Now, being more than $3 a gallon, people are beginning to notice it more as its putting a pinch on their wallets.

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